Chapter 2200 Rational People Rational Market
Li Tenglong and Luo Hu didn't speak, but they were all looking at Song Yun, and they both wanted to see how Song Yun analyzed such things. Both of them are in business, and they know very well what is going on in the market. In the past few years, due to various reasons, the circle of antique collection, or the antique market is indeed relatively cold, but in the past two or three years, it can really be seen, even with the naked eye. The market is recovering, and it is becoming more and more lively. The direct reaction is as mentioned before, whether it is an auction or other places, the prices of antiques are constantly rising.
What Zhu Deyuan and Xu Desheng said is actually quite correct, that is, when a market starts to prosper again, there will be more and more things sold in it, and the prices will become higher and higher, and finally there will be a bubble.
Song Yun looked at Zhu Deyuan, then at Xu Desheng, followed by Li Tenglong and Luo Hu, and seeing the puzzled expressions on their faces, he knew that his opinion was not particularly accurate.
"Mr. Zhu, Mr. Xu, Boss Li, Boss Luo, I know what you are thinking, but in fact I can tell you that the market in this era is very different from the market in the era of more than ten years ago. the difference."
"There is a fundamental difference between the antique market or playing with antiques and other commodities, that is, if you want to play with antiques, you must have enough knowledge, even though the current science and technology are very prosperous and very developed , can carry out the identification of antiques, but no one will carry an instrument with him when buying antiques, which can judge the authenticity of an antique at once, or many times whether it is an antique seller or a Buyers, they all refuse to use such a method."
"This means that in the process of buying and selling antiques, whoever has more knowledge and a more unique vision will be able to take advantage."
Song Yun didn't express his views directly, but changed the angle and question.
Zhu Deyuan, Xu Desheng, Li Tenglong and Luo Hu couldn't figure out why Song Yun suddenly changed the topic to this topic, but they all nodded after hearing Song Yun's words. You do have to have some knowledge.
"The prosperity and development of the antique market is a certain thing. Even if it has suffered a huge blow, it will continue to prosper slowly as time goes by. In the era of prosperity, the antique collection market must be more and more prosperous. No one can deny this, and no one can stop it. But as I said just now, the market in this era is completely different from the previous market. It is different, the most important thing is that the people who invest now or those who collect antiques have undergone earth-shaking changes from those who used to collect and invest in antiques. Simply put, they have more knowledge, or more To put it bluntly, it is very difficult to fool around. One of the results of this is that people who collect antiques or invest in antique artworks are actually very sane. Environment, with a very full and rational understanding, there will be various appraisals and various evaluations before buying a very precious antique. If we all pay attention, we will find that, in addition to real leaks In addition, the price of those antiques sold now is not particularly far from the market price."
After Song Yun entered this circle, he has been observing all kinds of situations, and he found a great feature, that is, it is impossible for the price of antiques in this era to appear in a market that far exceeds it. The possibility of value, in simple terms, is that if the market value of an antique is five million, whether it is an auction or other transaction methods, it is absolutely impossible to sell it for fifty million. The fundamental reason is That is, people nowadays are really very sensible, and they have a very clear understanding of the true value of antiques.
Zhu Deyuan, Xu Desheng, Li Tenglong, and Luo Hu were all stunned for a moment. In fact, they didn't notice such a thing at all, but now after Song Yun directly revealed this matter, after thinking about it carefully, he found that This is really the case, no matter what kind of transaction it is now, no matter in the auction, although there will still be some antiques with very high transaction prices, but if you look carefully, you will find that the transaction amount is very high Antiques, in fact, do not particularly deviate from the market value of the entire antique.
"Mr. Song, this is indeed what you said. Don't look at the current auction. If you analyze it carefully, you will find that there is indeed such a phenomenon as you said. There are many antiques. , it was sold, but the price will not be particularly high. If you measure it carefully, there is really no special deviation from its true market value. Simply put, if everyone thinks that an antique has a market value of one million , the final transaction price is very likely to be 1.2 million, and if it reaches 1.5 million, it is not surprising if the final transaction price is lower than 1 million."
"Another one is those antiques that are hyped very high each time, for example, antiques with a transaction price of tens of millions or 100 million. There is also such a situation, although various means are used, such as various publicity All kinds of hype, etc., the final transaction price will not be particularly outrageous, usually a little bit higher than his real price, such as 10%, 20%, want to overturn It’s really rare to see something that becomes 100% after one round.”
Luo Hu calculated it very carefully. In the auctions he participated in these years, he found that it was really very difficult to get a very high and outrageous transaction price, as Song Yun said. At least It doesn't happen often, unless there are some very special factors. For example, some people want to take back those antiques that were lost outside. If this happens, the prices will be relatively high, but this is not a market at all. Behavior.
"Song Yun!"
"What you said is very reasonable. It is indeed the case. The prices of antique transactions in recent years are indeed very reasonable. It is really very difficult to have a transaction price that is completely and completely deviated from the price of the entire antique."
Zhu Deyuan actually understands why Song Yun said just now that even if the antique market is booming at this time, it is very difficult to think of a bubble.