Chapter 625 The Market Is Changing Rapidly!
"The sentiment expectations for the core main lines of 'infrastructure' and 'military industry' have not weakened much!"
Seeing the intense and consistent discussions on related stock discussion platforms on the entire Internet, inside the main fund trading room of Yuhang Investment Company at this moment, Li Meng was quite surprised and said: "Moreover, these core threads today, The intraday trend turned from divergent to unanimous, which is simply unexpected. Look at this situation... In tomorrow's market, these core main lines will continue to be pursued and speculated by a large number of funds both on and off the market. ”
"The vast number of investors in the market, under the guidance of inertial thinking, will not act as long as the money-making effect of the popular market lines of 'infrastructure' and 'military industry' does not decline significantly and the money-losing effect is not obvious. Take the initiative to take over other mainline sectors where the effect of losing money at low prices is more obvious." Su Yu smiled when he heard Li Meng's surprised words and responded, "Chasing the rise and killing the fall is a common operating mode of retail investors, 'infrastructure', The popular main lines of the market, 'military industry', have been going on for so long, and even if the current internal chip structure is fragmented, the market will not end all at once."
"But it's hard to open up much space, right?" Li Meng continued.
Su Yu nodded and responded: "This is natural, and as these major main lines cannot further expand their space, when the money-making effects of these major main lines gradually decrease step by step, then there will definitely be more and more The funds flow out of these core main lines to find other main line sectors that have more hype value and investment value and can more easily condense market speculation sentiment.
Anyway, here we are at this time.
Just keep the previous strategy. If there is a suitable opportunity at the high level in the session, reduce your position. If there is a suitable opportunity for a sudden kill at the low level in the session, then make appropriate use of the reduced position to increase the chips of the main line of 'Big Finance'. Don't be anxious and keep a normal attitude.
The core main lines of the market, "infrastructure" and "military industry," can be regarded as establishing an adjustment platform.
I'm afraid it will also be in shock for a long time.
We have plenty of opportunities to slowly adjust positions and sort out the position structure. "
"Yeah!" Li Meng nodded. She didn't have any different opinions on Su Yu's investment strategy and trading strategy. She just pondered for a moment and wondered when the next main line of the market would be formed, or Before the "big financial" line comes out, there are still many worries about whether there will be other main lines in the market that first break out of the continuous upward market trend and siphon market funds.
After all, if before ‘big finance’ comes out, there are other main lines that have siphoned off market funds in advance.
Then, it will be more difficult for the 'big finance' line to gather market attention and gather a huge flow of funds in a short period of time.
So, she pondered for a moment and couldn't help but continue: "Mr. Su, in today's market performance, the financial groups in the market have actually tried more than one direction, including 'technological growth', 'big consumption', and 'big finance'. In the main line area of large and low levels, there were once signs of the gathering of main funds.
I'm thinking...these major main storyline expectations are actually there.
If the macro-level policy benefits of the 'big finance' line come too late, and funds first form relatively consistent expectations in the main line areas of 'big consumption' and 'technological growth', then from 'infrastructure' and 'military industry' The funds withdrawn from these popular main lines are bound to be siphoned off by these two main line areas.
In this way, wait until the "big finance" line has the logic and opportunity to explode.
I am afraid that in the market, the amount of funds undertaken has also been significantly reduced, and it is difficult to raise this trillion-level main line to produce a sustained money-making effect! "
Su Yu responded with a smile: "This worry is completely unnecessary. The main trend of the market is not so easy to condense and create. Judging from the current time point, 'technological growth', 'big consumption', 'big finance' 'Of these three low core main line directions, only the 'big financial' main line direction has signs of rapid expansion in expectations and rapid reversal of industry fundamentals.
The other two major low-level main line areas, whether it is the main line of 'technological growth'.
It’s still the main line of ‘big consumption’.
Although future expectations are not bad in the context of continued macroeconomic recovery.
However, the changes in its fundamentals and the corresponding expected changes are not so rapid and appear relatively mild.
In this way, without the support of rapidly changing expectations and industry fundamentals, it is basically unrealistic for funds to speculate on these two main lines and attempt to create these two main lines of market trends.
After all, there is no solid investment logic and hype logic to support it.
Pure conceptual speculation cannot last for a long time and continue to create upward trend space.
Therefore, we don't have to worry about the two main market lines of 'technological growth' and 'big consumption' in the subsequent changes in market conditions. They will seize active funds in the market and restrict the explosion of the main line of 'big finance', because there is no basic investment logic and hype. Logical support, then these two main lines are trees without roots,"
"I agree with what Mr. Su said." After listening to Su Yu's analysis, Zhang Guobing nodded and said, "No matter how the market goes in the short term, with the fermentation of market sentiment and the changes in the views of capital groups on and off the market, 'infrastructure' The profit-making effect of the market trends of these popular investment main lines, "Military Industry" and "Military Industry" will definitely become weaker and weaker.
At the same time, more and more funds will agree that the market will switch between high and low.
And, on the whole, it is indeed only the main line of "big finance" that has the expected momentum of industry fundamental reversal and comprehensive performance explosion.
No matter how the market adjusts in the short term in the overall market structure.
The final consistent expectations and the real breakthrough direction of the capital group will always turn to the main line of "big finance". "
"I think so too." Zhao Lijun smiled and said.
Wang Can pondered for a moment and said: "After the decline of the core main lines of the "infrastructure" and "military industry" markets, the probability of the market main line turning to "big finance" is naturally high, but when will this line have the opportunity to explode?"
Liu Yuan thought about it and responded: "It should depend on the market's macro-monetary policy. When will there be signs of change? I feel that without the macro-level favorable stimulus, it is still difficult for the "big finance" line to quickly gather the market investor group's emotions and expectations, and it is also difficult to make the vast fund groups inside and outside the market converge in this direction.
And before the macro-level favorable news appears in the market.
I think that with the size of our institution's funds, it is impossible to go against the trend and forcefully pull this main line to get out of the continuous money-making effect. ”
For the trillion-level market main line market outbreak.
This can no longer be said to be brought out by a certain main force's inducement and guidance. It must still be coordinated with the macro-level policy benefits, and the entire market must form a substantial synergy.
Just like the previous outbreaks of core main lines such as "infrastructure" and "military industry".
If there is no strong expectation support from substantial policy benefits such as "New Era Road, Maritime Silk Road", "Central Enterprises and State-owned Enterprises Reform and Restructuring", and "Military Asset Securitization" on the macro level, it is basically impossible for their institutions to bring out this main line market.
After all, there is no consistent expectation and no market synergy.
A main force, even if it is forced to support, it is difficult to attract other main forces to continue to undertake, let alone let many similar institutions in the industry continue to carry the sedan chair, and further expand the continuous money-making effect on the main line.
"Well!" Su Yu heard Liu Yuan's answer and nodded, "Indeed, when the market of the "big finance" line can break through comprehensively and go out of the continuous outbreak of the market trend, it depends on the macro-level monetary policy and when there will be a clear reversal.
Of course, according to our analysis.
The change in monetary policy on the macro level should not take too long.
After all, the market will face the National Day next, followed by the last quarter of the economic growth rate breakthrough. At the same time, the signs of external macroeconomic changes are also relatively obvious. The central banks of the world have also shown a clear tendency to change monetary policy when the Federal Reserve relaxes and postpones the pace of interest rate hikes.
In this way, the central bank will definitely follow up quickly.
At most, the central bank will take action within two months.
And this time point within two months happens to be the end of the third quarter of the market, and the market is almost hyping the third quarter performance forecast.
Analyze and consider from this direction.
The "Securities" sector, as the vanguard of performance explosion and the industry sector that directly benefits from the change in monetary policy.
Once the opportunity for the outbreak comes, the stock price of the corresponding securities company will definitely be the first to reverse.
Therefore, in these two months, our main investment and trading purpose is not to increase the net profit value, but to reasonably adjust the structure of holding chips.
It is to seize the opportunity for the subsequent development of the main market trend. ”
Hearing Su Yu's insights on the market and his explanation of the current investment and trading strategies, everyone in the trading room nodded and said they understood.
As Yuhang Investment Company's main fund trading departments further clarified the subsequent investment and trading plans.
In the evening, the peripheral market continued to rebound.
At the same time, in the continuous rebound, the sharp decline of the previous two days was fully recovered, so that the US stocks that had been fluctuating at a high level, once again formed a relatively stable trend in the shaky situation.
And when the peripheral market trend formed a reverse situation for the decline of the previous two days.
The next day, the entire market also opened higher under the influence of the peripheral market trend.
Especially the core main lines of the market such as "infrastructure" and "military industry", after yesterday's intraday adjustment and further divergence to consensus, today opened sharply higher, Many core stocks and leading concept stocks hit new rebound highs and annual highs at the moment of opening.
Faced with a market that opened higher across the board.
The sentiment of the vast investor groups inside and outside the market was high again, entering a white-hot stage of long positions.
However, in such a high-opening market, after the time officially entered the continuous bidding trading period, the extremely strong "infrastructure" and "military industry" and other hot market main line areas, a number of core component stocks, and concept leading stocks, after a short burst of volume, fell into a situation of sharp increase in selling, continuous selling pressure, and increasingly heavy selling power, gradually exceeding the buying power.
And under the effect of this gradual imbalance of buying and selling volume.
The trend of these popular component stocks and concept leading stocks was further reversed, and a diving trend of rising and falling appeared across the board.
And this time the market plunged.
Compared with the plunge in the market yesterday, it was more rapid and urgent, and the amount of energy released was also greater.
Then, when these popular main-line stocks plunged from high platforms, the selling power continued to increase, the internal chip structure was further dispersed, and the market divergence became larger and larger.
Such as the low-level main-line areas of "technological growth", "big consumption", and "big finance".
It was once again taken care of and increased by many main funds in the market.
Just like yesterday, these main funds that poured into the low-level main-line areas of "technological growth", "big consumption", and "big finance" still had huge differences in the direction of attack and the direction of increasing positions, making these major main-line areas, while continuing to absorb the main funds, still unable to get out of the continuous money-making effect, unable to gather the market's more consistent emotional expectations and hype enthusiasm.
Finally, the market sector rotation accelerated.
The adjustments of the market's popular main lines such as "infrastructure" and "military industry" also accelerated, and the market divergence expanded.
Closing time at 3 pm.
In the absence of negative impacts in the market, the Shanghai Composite Index opened high by nearly 0.75%, but eventually closed down by nearly 1 point. At the same time, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing sharply lower, stocks in several major market hot mainline fields such as "infrastructure" and "military industry" also weakened across the board, forming an obvious adjustment trend.
And stocks in the fields of "technological growth", "big consumption" and "big finance".
In today's market crash, they strengthened instead, forming a generally small rise in the red market, and further clarified the market's "high-low switching" pattern.
Faced with such a closing result and pattern trend in the market.
Inside and outside the entire market, countless investor groups, especially retail investor groups, were surprised and confused.
No one expected today's market trend to be like this, and at the same time, they couldn't figure it out...
It was obvious that yesterday, the stocks in the core mainline areas of the market, such as "infrastructure" and "military industry", had completed the intraday adjustment and re-established the consistency of emotions and funds. Why did they plummet today when there was no negative news in the peripheral market?
"Fuck, today's market trend is simply poisonous, right?"
The majority of retail investors were puzzled and indignant, thinking that the main capital group in the market that dominated the market trend was simply sick. When they smashed the market for no reason, some retail investors gathered on the online stock discussion platform cursed in their hearts: "Fuck, some main forces without a pattern, smashing the market regardless of the weather, are simply sick. Such a good market sentiment atmosphere, not hitting it up, I don't know what these guys are thinking?" (End of this chapter)